Mets vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks – August 1

Updated August 1, 2025, 7:00 p. frabelle fishing corporationm. ET

Juan Soto and the New York Mets are set to face Rafael Devers and the San Francisco Giants at Citi Field this coming Friday. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The Mets are favored in this matchup, with odds of -143, while the underdog Giants have +121 odds for an upset. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +147 odds), and the total runs for the game have been set at 8.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Giants game, including the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks. Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Mets vs. Giants Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 1, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET

Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York

How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and NBCS-BA

Favorite

Moneyline: Mets -143
Underdog Moneyline: Giants +121
Total: 8
Over Total Odds: -109
Under Total Odds: -111
Run Line Favorite: Mets -1.5
Run Line Odds: +147
Underdog Run Line Odds: -177

Mets vs. Giants Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 5, Giants 4

Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Giants 46%

Mets vs. Giants Betting Insights

The Mets have been favored in 76 games this season and have won 49 of them (64.5%). They hold a record of 29-17 in games where bookmakers favored them by at least -143 on the moneyline. The Mets have a 58.8% chance to win based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

The Giants have been underdogs in 42 games this season and managed to win 20 of those (47.6%) is butler playing tonight. This year, San Francisco has won six out of 13 games when listed at +121 or worse on the moneyline, giving them an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the oddsmakers.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets posted a record of 5-1 when favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups. In the same span, the combined games of the Mets and their opponents have gone over the total three times (all games had set totals). The Mets’ against the spread (ATS) record is 5-5-0 over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Record: 7-3
Runs Per Game: 4. standing lakers1
Home Runs: 9
ERA: 3.30
K/9: 8.7

Mets Player Insights

Soto leads the Mets with 25 home runs, placing him 10th overall in MLB. His RBI total ranks him 30th. Pete Alonso follows with 81 RBIs while hitting .259, ranking 18th in home runs and 6th in RBIs. Francisco Lindor contributes 20 doubles, 20 home runs, and 34 walks, while Brandon Nimmo adds 21 doubles and 19 home runs.

Mets Team Props

Pete Alonso: Hits O/U 0.5 (-165), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+125), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+150)
Francisco Lindor: Hits O/U 0.5 (-210), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+115), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+170)
Brandon Nimmo: Hits O/U 0.5 (-195), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+140), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+215)

Giants Recent Betting Performance

In the last 10 matchups as underdogs, the Giants have recorded a 2-3 record. In terms of hitting the over, they have managed it 5 times against their opponents, with a record of 5-4-1. However, their ATS record over the last 10 games stands at 3-7-0 where to watch boston celtics vs pacers.

Giants Recent Stats

Record: 2-8
Runs Per Game: 4. heart games1
Home Runs: 10
ERA: 4.55
K/9: 10

Giants Player Insights

Devers leads the Giants with 19 home runs and 73 RBIs, ranking 30th and 11th, respectively, in those categories league-wide. Jung Hoo Lee has 22 doubles, eight triples, six home runs, and 37 walks at a batting average of .248. Willy Adames contributes with 18 doubles, two triples, and 16 home runs, while Heliot Ramos leads the team in batting average with .267.

Giants Team Props

Matt Chapman: Hits O/U 0.5 (-190), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+140), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+160)
Heliot Ramos: Hits O/U 0.5 (-220), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+140), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+225)
Willy Adames: Hits O/U 0.5 (-185), RBI O/U 0.5 (+205)

What are your predictions for the Mets vs. Giants matchup?